- Petrol could fall by Re0.61 from Sept 1.
- Diesel worth anticipated to drop Rs3.13 per litre.
- Kerosene, gentle diesel additionally set to say no.
ISLAMABAD: Amid devastating floods brought on by cloudbursts, landslides, and flash deluges throughout Punjab — with spillover results anticipated in Sindh — Pakistan is predicted to see a slight discount in petroleum product (POL) costs from September 1, providing solely modest reduction to shoppers.
Official estimates recommend petrol could drop by Re0.61 per litre, whereas high-speed diesel (HSD) might see a bigger lower of Rs3.13 per litre. Kerosene oil is projected to say no by Rs1.57, and light-weight diesel oil (LDO) by Rs2.61 per litre.
These changes stem from a marginal lower in world crude costs. Brent crude was recorded at $67.30 per barrel on August 16, rose to $68.18 on August 18, after which slipped to $66.73 by August 27. Although restricted, the easing in worldwide markets has formed Pakistan’s native pricing outlook.
Accordingly, the brand new sale worth of petrol could set at Rs264.00 per litre (down from Rs264.61), HSD at Rs269.86 per litre (down from Rs272.99), kerosene oil at Rs176.70 per litre and LDO at Rs159.55 per litre.
The worth cuts come in opposition to the backdrop of projections by main world establishments. Goldman Sachs forecasts Brent to common between $60–66 per barrel by way of the rest of 2025, probably falling into the low $50s in 2026 if provide surpluses materialise.
In the meantime, the US Vitality Info Administration (EIA) expects Brent costs to dip under $60 per barrel in This fall 2025, with ranges hovering round $50 all through 2026 on account of rising world inventories and output.
The present worth of petroleum merchandise features a important petroleum levy, carbon levy, freight burden, customs obligation and deemed obligation.
Shoppers presently pay petroleum levy and carbon levy of Rs80.52 per litre on petrol, Rs79.51 on HSD and Inland Freight Equalisation Margin (IFEM) of Rs8.05 on petrol, and Rs6.20 on HSD. The premiums on petrol appears at $6.37 per barrel, and $3.20 per barrel on HSD.
Regardless of the disaster-struck panorama, the marginal discount in POL costs could present restricted monetary respite to households and industries already grappling with excessive inflation and disrupted provide chains.