Polymarket Odds 21% Probability For Bitcoin To Hit $150K in 2026

Prediction market merchants on Polymarket are tipping 21% odds of Bitcoin hitting $150,000 this yr, regardless of man analysts seeing 2026 as a belated bull yr for Bitcoin.

Based on the present market on “what value will Bitcoin hit earlier than 2027?”, Polymarket exhibits 45% odds of Bitcoin reaching $120,000, a value level under its all-time excessive.

The percentages fall additional at $130,000, with only a 35% likelihood, whereas $140,000 has a 28% probability and $150,000 has a 21% probability.

The most secure wager merchants are at the moment keen to position on total is a mere $100,000 at 80%.

Whereas it isn’t totally clear what has made customers so cautious, the top of the four-year cycle could have one thing to do with it, after BTC closed 2025 within the purple.

The four-year cycle was a market sample surrounding halving occasions that had performed out a number of occasions over Bitcoin’s historical past, enabling chartists to plot future strikes. With this coming to an finish, it opens the door for brand spanking new buying and selling patterns to emerge.

Associated: Bitcoin choices increase raises fears of capped BTC upside

Regardless of the bearish odds, analysts have been tipping a bullish yr for Bitcoin.

President Donald Trump is about to announce a brand new US Federal Reserve chair within the coming weeks, which can be a boon for crypto as many anticipate rates of interest to be slashed.

Such anticipation has partially already fueled a surge within the value of treasured metals comparable to gold and silver, with each hitting new ATHs within the fourth quarter of 2025, regardless of digital commodities in crypto remaining flat.