Ki Younger Ju’s view challenges each crash narratives and quick-bull expectations, pointing as a substitute to a protracted interval of low pleasure.
Bitcoin (BTC) inflows have dried up, in accordance with CryptoQuant CEO Ki Younger Ju, who mentioned that the market is probably going heading into a number of months of flat, uneventful worth motion moderately than a dramatic sell-off.
His feedback matter as a result of they problem each crash fears and near-term bull expectations at a time when Bitcoin is buying and selling just under key restoration ranges after a risky finish to 2025.
Capital Rotation Replaces the Outdated Bitcoin Cycle
Writing on X, Ki famous that recent capital is not flowing into Bitcoin in a significant method. As an alternative, cash has rotated into equities and commodities, which he known as “shares and glossy rocks.” He argued that this shift, mixed with structural adjustments out there, makes the timing of inflows far much less helpful than in earlier cycles.
In accordance with Ki, the normal sample the place giant holders bought into retail demand has weakened. Lengthy-term institutional possession has modified provide conduct, and he dismissed fears that main company holders will out of the blue flood the market with cash. He pointed to Technique’s 673,000 BTC stash, saying the agency is unlikely to promote a significant portion.
Because of this, Ki mentioned a deep drawdown much like earlier bear markets appears unlikely. As an alternative of a violent drop from the all-time excessive, he expects what he described as “boring sideways” worth motion for the subsequent few months. He added a blunt warning to merchants betting on a sudden collapse:
“Shorting right here hoping for a nuke? Good luck with that.”
Not everybody agreed. A reply from X consumer Inside Version captured frustration amongst smaller traders, saying they have been “extraordinarily disenchanted” and questioning whether or not a bull market would even arrive. Ki responded by urging persistence, comparing Bitcoin is one thing that improves with time moderately than fast hypothesis.
On-chain Knowledge Backs and Gradual, Grinding Section
A current report by analyst CryptoZeno offers context to Ki’s outlook. In accordance with them, Bitcoin’s Web Unrealized Revenue/Loss is sitting close to the 0.3 degree, a zone that has typically acted as a holding vary between restoration and renewed risk-taking. The studying suggests common holders are again in modest revenue, however nowhere close to the surplus seen late in previous cycles.
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Glassnode additionally echoed that view in its Week On-Chain report launched on January 7, which described the flagship cryptocurrency coming into 2026 with a “cleaner market construction” after a serious reset. Revenue-taking has cooled, derivatives positioning has been cleared, and spot ETF flows within the US have began to show constructive once more, though nonetheless uneven.
Nevertheless, different market watchers stay break up. For instance, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan believes that BTC’s 2026 restoration can proceed if regulatory uncertainty in Washington eases and fairness markets keep away from a steep drop. In the meantime, extra cautious voices, such because the pseudonymous Physician Revenue, nonetheless see dangers of decrease costs later this yr, regardless of a restricted draw back within the brief time period.
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