Following the seize of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on Saturday, consideration has turned to the nation’s transition to a brand new management — and one Bitcoiner is within the operating to steer that cost.
María Corina Machado, Venezuelan opposition chief and winner of the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025, is the second-favorite to steer Venezuela’s shift away from authoritarian rule underneath Maduro, who has been transferred to New York to face federal fees associated to narcotics trafficking and corruption.
Data from predictions market Kalshi reveals Machado has a 28% probability of main Venezuela by the top of 2026, trailing solely Unitary Platform’s Edmundo González Urrutia (32%), who’s broadly believed to have received Venezuela’s election in Could 2025 however was blocked from assuming the presidency by Maduro’s United Socialist Occasion.
In third is Vice President Delcy Eloína Rodríguez (27%), Maduro’s former operating mate, who was appointed performing president by Venezuela’s Supreme Court docket following Maduro’s seize.
US President Donald Trump mentioned the US would run Venezuela till a brand new management is established, elevating uncertainty in regards to the nation’s short-term future.
A Machado-led Venezuela might see fundamental human rights and political freedom restored, in addition to a pointy flip towards free-market reforms, together with the usage of Bitcoin (BTC) as a substitute for the crippling Venezuelan bolivar, which has misplaced greater than 99.99% of its buying energy since Maduro took workplace in 2013.
Bitcoin has been a “lifeline” for Venezuelans: Machado
Talking with the Human Rights Basis’s chief technique officer, Alex Gladstein, in late 2024, Machado envisioned making Bitcoin a nationwide reserve asset and aiding its adoption as a funds answer:
“Venezuelan discovered a lifeline in Bitcoin throughout hyperinflation, utilizing it to guard their wealth and to finance their escape,” Machado mentioned on the time.
“It has advanced from a humanitarian software to an important technique of resistance. We’re grateful for the lifeline Bitcoin gives and sit up for embracing it in a brand new democratic Venezuela.”
Over 8 million Venezuelans have fled the nation since Maduro took over in 2013, and crypto has been considered one of a number of cost instruments used to ship a reimbursement to members of the family.
Trump will not be assured about Machado
Machado’s odds on Kalshi briefly overtook González’s on Saturday, however fell after US President Donald Trump said she does not have the respect to steer Venezuela out of Maduro’s regime.
“I feel it might be very powerful for her to be the chief. She does not have the help inside or the respect inside the nation. She’s a really good lady, however she does not have the respect.”
Trump’s take has been opposed by a number of political analysts accustomed to Venezuela’s state of affairs, together with the founder and CEO of Venture Pulso, Liz Rebecca Alarcón, who told ABC that the opposition chief already has overwhelming help.
“We additionally need our will as Venezuelans inside and outdoors of the nation to be revered and that may is for Maria Corina Machado and Edmundo Gonzále Urrutia to finally take tribute.”
Machado was broadly tipped to beat Maduro within the 2025 election, however was controversially banned from operating by the Supreme Court docket for alleged administrative irregularities and alleged violations of electoral legislation.
Associated: Bitcoin worth $90K breakout hangs in stability as US storms Venezuela
Maduro’s Venezuela shut down Bitcoin miners
The United Socialist Occasion, which Rodríguez now leads, has an extended historical past of seizing Bitcoin miners and shutting down amenities, typically citing unlawful energy use or lack of permits.

The Trump administration spoke with Rodríguez on Saturday, who initially signaled willingness to cooperate however later backtracked, calling Maduro’s seize an “unlawful kidnapping” and the US operation a breach of Venezuela’s sovereignty.
If she does not do what’s proper, she goes to pay a really massive worth, in all probability larger than Maduro,” Trump told The Atlantic on Sunday.
Journal: How crypto legal guidelines modified in 2025 — and the way they’re going to change in 2026

